Recession talk is back, and the smartest response is to watch the data and quietly fortify your finances before headlines ...

The inverted yield curve is a sinister sign of a recession. And truckers have for months been sounding the warning bells about an economic crash.

The bond market just flashed a warning sign that has correctly predicted almost every recession over the past 60 years: an inversion of the US Treasury note yield curve. An inverted yield curve is ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

You know that once-mythical soft landing thing that Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee referenced in his recent interview with Marketplace? It’s the thing where inflation is tamed but ...

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Humans have been fortune-telling for at least six thousand years — there’s tarot cards, palm reading and the bond market. A 10-year bond theoretically locks up your money for 10 years in exchange for ...

An inverted yield curve, historically a precursor to economic downturns, suggests short-term borrowing costs for banks could soon outpace returns from long-term loans, squeezing profit margins, writes ...

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 09: Yield curve inversion markets to markets and could happen in 2022 on the bond market's current trajectory (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) One of the best ...

The yield curve is the difference between the current 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-Year T-Note yield. The Fed Funds Rate is the rate the Fed sets on overnight money to establish the demand for money ...

When it comes to economic forecasts, the U.S. Treasury yield curve is a go-to gauge for many seasoned investors. And for good reason: An inverted yield curve has accurately foreshadowed all 10 ...

There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...